FOOTBALL BETTING TIPS
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FOOTBALL BETTING TIPS
Everyone seems to have their own special system for picking a football winner and there must be a thousand different "Cheat Sheets" out there. While we don't subscribe to any particular system -- and we certainly don't endorse any of the so-called "Gurus" -- we do want to share with you some gambling tips that we've found useful for betting and winning on football.
Pointspreads & How to Spot
Football scoring is a "numbers game" … points are added to the score in units of 2, 3, 6, 7 or 8. With this in mind, its important to realize that certain point spreads are more important than others. Because a relatively high percentage of games end with a margin of victory in increments of these numbers, it's imperative that attention be paid to the most meaningful point spreads.
Well over half of all pro football games end with one of ten possible differences in the score: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, or 17. So, the "Half-Point" move off any of these numbers can represent a significant betting opportunity.
Watch for Threes!
For instance, a line change from +7.5 to +9.5 is hardly worth noticing. Because football games do not usually end with a margin of 8 or 9, the move from +7.5 to +9.5 doesn't make much difference. When a team covers, or fails to cover, 7.5 points, they almost always cover, or fail to cover, 9.5 as well.
The 13 Most Important Numbers in Football Betting
To gamble on football, it's important to realize that certain scores are more likely to occur than other scores. Would you believe that only 13 different numbers represent more than 66% of all NFL football scores!
It's true! When predicting final football scores, you must take into account these REAL NUMBERS … 7, 10, 13, 14, 16, 17, 20, 21, 23, 24, 27, 28, and 31
These numbers (plus scores in the category
of "Over 40") are the only real numbers worth considering
when forecasting the final outcome. Always adjust your predictions
accordingly. In other words, say you've forecast the Titans
over the Rams by a score of 30-26 … this score probably
won't happen! Adjust your numbers to a score with a higher
probability of occurring … say, 31-24 or 28-27. Now
you are dealing with a point spread worthy of consideration.
More Gambling Tips
Find the Best Betting Lines
This is perhaps the most important online betting tip we can offer - shop for the best possible odds from the online sportsbooks. There are two ways to do this in our opinion:
1. Surf the internet sportsbooks,
register with as many as possible in order to have access
to their betting lines, and before placing any wager, check
each sportsbook's lines to see who offers the best odds on
a particular wager. Sounds like a lot of work, but nobody
said gambling was easy.
Don't Give Away More Than a Touchdown
in the NFL
Look for Value in Lesser Known
Don't Overreact to Blowouts
Don't Be Scared to Lay Big Numbers
Pay Attention to Strength of Schedule